There are a mere 18 more sleeps until the Massanutten Mountain Trails 100
21. That is the number of people I need to drop from the entrants or wait list to ensure I get to run.
To finish the 101.7 mile course within the 36 hour limit I would need to average a 21:14 pace.
That pace would not however keep me ahead of rolling aid station cutoffs.
I read once that to calculate an estimated finish time from a
50 to a 100 mile event
you use a factor of 1.5.
BRR 50 averaged a 13:12 pace.
13:12 x 1.5 = 19.68
BRR 50 doesn't list it's elevation change.
It's course has many repeated inclines and declines of around 200 feet.
MTT 100 has climbs totaling 16,000 feet.
68% of the 195 runners finished the 101.7 miles in 2011
the percentage of people who attempted
MMT 100 in 2011 and
Only 18 more sleeps until I get the chance to find out which one of those groups I belong to.
But really. Deep breath. No pressure.